← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Sep 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bentley Baxter Bahn · Hansa Rostock |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nik Omladič · Hansa Rostock |
| 79' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 82' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 84' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · Darmstadt |
| 86' | ⚽ | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 985.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1357.38 | 1539.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.45 | -11.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.93 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.25 | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |