← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Sep 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 39% | 2.55 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 37' | 🟨 | Florian Flick · FC Schalke 04 |
| 63' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 73.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1558.50 | 1505.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.01 | 2.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |