← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Sep 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Regensburg win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 19' | ⚽ | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 35' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 38' | ⚽ | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 52' | 🟨 | Christopher Schindler · Nurnberg |
| 53' | ⚽ | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 79' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Nurnberg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟥 | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1534.00 | 438.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1475.92 | 1494.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 62.40 | 26.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 25.97 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |