← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Ingolstadt win | 27% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| SV Werder Bremen +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ (og) | Nico Antonitsch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Merlin Röhl · Ingolstadt |
| 42' | ⚽ | Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Christian Groß · SV Werder Bremen |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · SV Werder Bremen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 559.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1452.67 | 1577.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.79 | -11.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| league points | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 14.79 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |