← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hannover +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 10' | 🟨 | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 39' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 86' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 680.00 | 437.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1428.75 | 1488.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.47 | 33.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.80 |
| league points | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 25.94 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |