← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Aug 29, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Regensburg win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 74' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 88' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 424.00 | 1520.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1475.74 | 1488.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.31 | 93.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 25.45 |
| state index | -0.05 | 1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |