← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Aug 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Karlsruhe win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 38' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | ⚽ | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 74' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 82' | ⚽ | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Mathenia · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 422.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1484.99 | 1521.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.49 | 37.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 28.76 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |