← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Aug 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 39% | 2.51 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Jonjić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 49' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Alexander Esswein · SV Sandhausen |
| 65' | ⚽ | Babacar Guèye · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 74' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · SV Sandhausen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 52.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1438.25 | 1389.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.69 | -15.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 28.09 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |