← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Aug 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Ingolstadt win | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ingolstadt +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Mats Møller Dæhli · Nurnberg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · Ingolstadt |
| 42' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nassim Boujellab · Ingolstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| coach days | 539.00 | 417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1436.58 | 1484.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.87 | 31.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
| league points | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.53 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.30 | 25.77 |
| state index | -0.85 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |