← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Aug 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 36% | 2.68 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
| 73' | ⚽ | David Otto · Regensburg |
| 79' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 81' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1512.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1472.73 | 1506.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 65.11 | 14.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.91 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |