← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Aug 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Heidenheim win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 71' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Heidenheim |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 88' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 658.00 | 5102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1429.45 | 1506.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.75 | -24.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |