← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Aug 13, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 15% | 6.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Erzgebirge AUE −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Soufiane Messeguem · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sascha Härtel · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 165.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1510.24 | 1434.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.46 | -20.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 12.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |