β 2. Bundesliga 2021 Β· Sat, Jul 31, 11:30 AM UTC Β· ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 27% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg β0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| SV Sandhausen β0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | π¨ | Oumar Diakhite Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 34' | β½ | Carlo Boukhalfa Β· Regensburg |
| 45' | π¨ | Erik Zenga Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 49' | π¨ | Carlo Boukhalfa Β· Regensburg |
| 70' | β½ | Scott Kennedy Β· Regensburg |
| 74' | π¨ | Oumar Diakhite Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 74' | π₯ | Oumar Diakhite Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 81' | β½ | Joel Zwarts Β· Regensburg |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 27 | Shots | 15 |
| 13 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1491.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1436.23 | 1400.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.96 | -17.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 27.91 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |