← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jul 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 42' | ⚽ | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 44' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 52' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 63' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Thomas Meissner · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 935.00 | 539.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1359.83 | 1497.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.54 | 26.23 |
| eye test v1 | — | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | — | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | — | 48.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | — | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | — | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | — | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.45 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | — | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |