← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jul 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.21 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jasper van der Werff · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5075.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1502.24 | 1509.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.56 | 5.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 2.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |