← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 29, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Ibiza win | 14% | 7.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ibiza −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Ibiza |
| 18' | ⚽ | Borja Sánchez · Oviedo |
| 52' | ⚽ | Alejandro Claverías · Ibiza |
| 57' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 70' | ⚽ | Davo · Ibiza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Guerrero · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Lara · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 848.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1576.63 | 1481.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.99 | -6.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 70.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 28.63 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |