← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 28, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 39' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 49' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 78' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 422.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1436.93 | 1423.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.91 | 2.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 46.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 51.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 6.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 26.44 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |