← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 |
| Ibiza win | 18% | 5.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza +1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Valladolid +1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 27' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Ibiza |
| 44' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Ibiza |
| 44' | 🟥 | Manu Molina · Ibiza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Escobar · Ibiza |
| 61' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 70' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Guerrero · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 171.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1489.13 | 1626.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.89 | 3.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 44.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 59.00 | 84.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.16 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 29.07 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |