← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Víctor García
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Amorebieta win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Amorebieta +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.79 |
| Under | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 19' | 🟨 | Gaizka Larrazabal · Amorebieta |
| 44' | ⚽ | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
| 56' | ⚽ | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 68' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 505.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1483.43 | 1436.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.61 | -5.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 63.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.76 | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |