← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Burgos win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Miguel Rubio · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 67' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 50.00 | 719.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 4.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1434.12 | 1477.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.59 | -13.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.80 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 49.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 29.01 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |