← Segunda División 2021 · Mon, May 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Zaragoza win | 16% | 6.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Oviedo −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Gastón Brugman · Oviedo |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 17' | ⚽ | Sergio Bermejo · Zaragoza |
| 20' | ⚽ | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 26' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Oviedo |
| 33' | ⚽ | Sergio Bermejo · Zaragoza |
| 48' | ⚽ | Gastón Brugman · Oviedo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Josep Chavarría · Zaragoza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Oviedo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Zaragoza |
| coach days | 835.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1590.15 | 1485.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.30 | -22.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| league points | 69.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 9.11 | 8.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 26.81 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |