← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Málaga CF win | 17% | 5.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vadillo · Málaga CF |
| 31' | 🟨 | Víctor Olmo · Málaga CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 48' | ⚽ | Aleix Febas · Málaga CF |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Málaga CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 85' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Tenerife |
| 85' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 560.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1602.82 | 1409.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.03 | 20.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 79.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.97 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |