← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Cartagena win | 28% | 3.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Sebastián Cristóforo · Cartagena |
| 34' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Burgos |
| 38' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 63' | ⚽ | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 712.00 | 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1479.04 | 1481.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.27 | 10.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 55.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.99 | 30.27 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |