← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 19% | 5.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.75 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 27' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Lugo |
| 39' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Fuenlabrada |
| 60' | 🟨 | Óscar Whalley · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 87' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 408.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1465.45 | 1364.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.35 | -43.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 51.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.43 | -1.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |