← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 14, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Huesca win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Amorebieta −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | David Timor · Huesca |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 63' | 🟥 | Dani Escriche · Huesca |
| 82' | 🟨 | Koldo Obieta Alberdi · Amorebieta |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pablo Insua · Huesca |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jon Irazábal Iraurgui · Amorebieta |
| 89' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mikel San José · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 74.00 | 347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1425.25 | 1542.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.02 | -18.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.82 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 28.89 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |