← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Valladolid win | 33% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Eibar −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 13' | 🟨 | Chema · Eibar |
| 25' | 🟨 | Esteban Burgos · Eibar |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Valladolid |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álvaro Aguado · Valladolid |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Nacho Martinez · Valladolid |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Eibar |
| 80' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 341.00 | 341.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1639.92 | 1598.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.26 | -31.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 43.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | — |
| league points | 86.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 27.39 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |