← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Burgos win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 40' | ⚽ | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 70' | ⚽ | Guillermo · Burgos |
| 85' | ⚽ | Kike Saverio · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1436.00 | 705.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 4.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1531.70 | 1489.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.75 | -16.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 70.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 7.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.65 | 28.44 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |