← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 7, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 |
| Amorebieta win | 14% | 7.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Amorebieta −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Andoni López · Amorebieta |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Andoni López · Almeria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jon Irazábal Iraurgui · Amorebieta |
| 75' | ⚽ | Srđan Babić · Almeria |
| 89' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 401.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1639.29 | 1431.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.64 | -6.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| league points | 82.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 28.20 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |