← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Cartagena win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 27' | ⚽ | Eduardo Espiau · Ponferradina |
| 29' | ⚽ | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 34' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 36' | 🟨 | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 40' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 44' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Ponferradina |
| 62' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amir Abedzadeh · Ponferradina |
| coach days | 1430.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1520.35 | 1494.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.06 | -2.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 67.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 29.96 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |