← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 46% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Burgos win | 24% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Almeria +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 44' | ⚽ (og) | Grego Sierra · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 55' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 81' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 87' | 🟨 | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 698.00 | 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.25 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1501.98 | 1627.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.24 | 21.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 55.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 4.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |