← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Leganes win | 32% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leganes +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Sergi Palencia · Leganes |
| 26' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Seydouba Cisse · Leganes |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gaku Shibasaki · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 388.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1476.84 | 1495.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | -46.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| league points | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.19 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 28.85 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |