← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Ibiza win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Las Palmas +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Armando Sadiku · Las Palmas |
| 29' | 🟨 | Papakouli Diop · Ibiza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ekain Zenitagoia · Ibiza |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Escobar · Ibiza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 62' | ⚽ | David Goldar · Ibiza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Jiménez · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 144.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1488.24 | 1533.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.15 | 51.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 51.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 7.01 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 29.27 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |