← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 37% | 2.79 |
| Cartagena win | 35% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Girona +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 14' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Arnau Martínez · Girona |
| 60' | 🟨 | Álex Baena · Girona |
| 63' | 🟨 | David Juncà · Girona |
| 63' | ⚽ | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 477.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1472.14 | 1624.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.78 | 14.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| league points | 58.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 4.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 30.19 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |