← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ibiza win | 29% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | David Goldar · Ibiza |
| 26' | ⚽ | Juanma García · Burgos |
| 36' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Raúl Sánchez · Ibiza |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Guillermo · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Escobar · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 2 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 685.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1491.19 | 1496.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.19 | -13.89 |
| eye test v1 | -1.51 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.65 |
| league points | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 28.87 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |