← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 13' | ⚽ | Eduardo Espiau · Ponferradina |
| 19' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 47' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 52' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 54' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 89' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1416.00 | 381.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1499.81 | 1488.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.99 | -1.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| league points | 61.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 8.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 27.67 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |