← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 49% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Burgos win | 23% | 4.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alejandro Marqués · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Mirandes |
| 50' | ⚽ | Alejandro Marqués · Mirandes |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alejandro Marqués · Mirandes |
| 73' | ⚽ | Sergio Camello · Mirandes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ernesto Gomez · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 68.00 | 678.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 4.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1487.97 | 1504.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 68.20 | -5.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.84 |
| league points | 49.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 23.83 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |