← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Girona win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Girona +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.66 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · Zaragoza |
| 33' | ⚽ | Borja Sainz · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 617.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1508.41 | 1625.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.12 | 46.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 51.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |