← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Málaga CF win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 36' | 🟨 | Andrés Caro · Málaga CF |
| 40' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Málaga CF |
| 43' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 46' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Málaga CF |
| 49' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vadillo · Málaga CF |
| 59' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 63' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 86' | 🟨 | Anuar · Valladolid |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ramón Enríquez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio León |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 8.00 | 312.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1389.76 | 1629.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.16 | -5.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |