← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Oviedo win | 28% | 3.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.60 |
| Over | 39% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Luismi · Oviedo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
| 39' | 🟨 | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 44' | 🟨 | Javi Mier · Oviedo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Pierre Cornud · Oviedo |
| 51' | 🟥 | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 70' | ⚽ | Joni Montiel · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luismi · Oviedo |
| 75' | 🟥 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Toni Datković |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 3 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| 81' | 🟥 | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Matheus Aiás · Oviedo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Oviedo |
| coach days | 457.00 | 792.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1480.82 | 1541.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.60 | 11.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| league points | 55.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.65 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.78 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |