← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Ibiza win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ibiza −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.64 |
| Over | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Francisco Grima · Ibiza |
| 49' | ⚽ | Mikel San José · Amorebieta |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ekain Zenitagoia · Ibiza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Francisco Grima · Ibiza |
| 64' | 🟥 | Francisco Grima · Ibiza |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 70' | ⚽ | Koldo Obieta Alberdi · Amorebieta |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Escobar · Ibiza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sergio Moreno · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rubén · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 32.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1422.90 | 1492.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.41 | -16.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.84 | 7.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.58 | 30.14 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |