← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Mar 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Amorebieta win | 22% | 4.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta −0.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Iker Seguin · Amorebieta |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jon Irazábal Iraurgui · Amorebieta |
| 64' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · Amorebieta |
| 78' | ⚽ | Óscar Gil · Amorebieta |
| 89' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Koldo Obieta Alberdi · Amorebieta |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 601.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1509.26 | 1418.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.79 | -42.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 49.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 5.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 27.72 |
| state index | 0.30 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |