← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Oviedo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Alberto Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 352.00 | 777.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1494.74 | 1530.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.13 | -2.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -12.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.68 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |