← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Mar 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 48% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bouldini · Fuenlabrada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 32' | ⚽ (og) | Jair Amador · Fuenlabrada |
| 37' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 37' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Fuenlabrada |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sotillos · Fuenlabrada |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 75' | ⚽ | Miguel Puche · Zaragoza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 587.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1519.17 | 1429.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.80 | -10.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 46.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -1.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 28.11 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |