← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 44% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Málaga CF win | 25% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Amorebieta −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Málaga CF |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jozabed Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 52' | ⚽ | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 54' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Málaga CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mikel San José · Amorebieta |
| 73' | 🟨 | Oier Luengo · Amorebieta |
| 89' | ⚽ | Iñigo Orozco · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iñigo Orozco · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 5.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1438.85 | 1397.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.02 | -27.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 29.12 |
| state index | -0.59 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |