← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Eibar win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Eibar +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Fran Sol · Eibar |
| 19' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 35' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 44' | 🟨 | Toño · Eibar |
| 45' | ⚽ | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
| 52' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 54' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Eibar |
| 77' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Eibar |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 89' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yann Bodiger · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 429.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1485.42 | 1669.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.82 | 24.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| league points | 49.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 5.89 | 7.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.44 | 30.47 |
| state index | -0.46 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |