← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ibiza win | 26% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Ibiza −0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Ponferradina |
| 23' | 🟨 | Kevin Appin · Ibiza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Ibiza |
| 56' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 72' | ⚽ | Kevin Appin · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1374.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1540.38 | 1508.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.38 | -2.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.13 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 58.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 29.11 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |