← Segunda División 2021 · Mon, Feb 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Cartagena win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cartagena +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 54' | ⚽ | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 57' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 58.00 | 423.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1397.09 | 1486.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.51 | -13.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | -1.46 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |