← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.56 |
| Amorebieta win | 11% | 9.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −1.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Amorebieta −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 19' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 26' | 🟨 | Lozano · Amorebieta |
| 30' | 🟨 | Óscar Plano · Valladolid |
| 32' | 🟨 | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 33' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 61' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 71' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Anuar · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 271.00 | 1732.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1628.37 | 1446.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.23 | -6.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| league points | 61.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 8.89 | 5.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 27.25 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |