← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Burgos win | 19% | 5.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 51% | 2.00 |
| Eibar −0.75 | 49% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Eibar |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Burgos |
| 57' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 71' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 74' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 88' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 271.00 | 636.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1662.51 | 1510.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.68 | 22.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 68.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 30.69 | 28.68 |
| state index | 0.83 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |