← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Lugo win | 13% | 7.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Las Palmas −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
| 24' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 27' | ⚽ | Rafa Mújica · Las Palmas |
| 39' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Diego Alende · Las Palmas |
| 67' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Las Palmas |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 56.00 | 331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1494.35 | 1483.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.84 | -1.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| league points | 46.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.51 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.53 | — |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |